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Prospects for Africa's 26 fragile countries
Date: 31 October 2013
Time: 10h00 - 12h30
Venue: Conference room, ISS Pretoria

What are the prospects for state fragility in Africa? This event launches a paper based on a forthcoming in-depth Institute for Security Studies monograph that assesses long-term structural dynamics in Africa by forecasting the future of Africa’s 26 ‘more fragile’ countries. In conducting the forecast using the International Futures (IFs) model, co-authors Jakkie Cilliers and Timothy D Sisk argue that fragility should be understood as a syndrome, or set of related conditions, that operates in a system that is mutually reinforcing.

Chair: Dr Julia Schünemann, senior researcher, ISS

Presenter: Dr Jakkie Cilliers, executive director, ISS

Respondent: Dr Paul-Simon Handy, head of the Conflict Prevention and Risk Analysis Division, ISS

Please note: For all ISS events, specific permission must be sought from the speaker(s) concerned before anything they said can be quoted, unless indicated otherwise.

Related documents:

Presentation by Dr Jakkie Cilliers

This event is made possible through funding provided by the Open Society Foundation for South Africa (OSF-SA). The ISS is also grateful for the support of the following core partners: the governments of Norway, Sweden, Australia and Denmark.
Conference room
ISS Pretoria
Ms Sarah Malefo
Phone: +27 12 346 9500
Dr Julia Schünemann
Phone: +27 12 346 9500
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