Africa defies generalisations. To assume that countries on the continent will follow models of development in other parts of the world is flawed. A new study of Africa’s prospects over the next 30 years suggests that Africa’s development path will be unique.
The Strategic Trends Programme of the United Kingdom (UK) Ministry of Defence Development, Concepts and Doctrine Centre is looking at which long-term trends will shape Africa’s future, and how they might impact policy development.
Although African countries are adopting various different models of governance, most recognise one thing: economic growth is key. The result may be a dilution of external influence by individual countries (including the major powers) and an assertion of African self-determination. Following the 5th edition of Global Strategic Trends, the Africa out to 2045 regional survey provides strategic context for policy makers in the UK and Sweden. It includes continental trends in governance, security, climate change and development.
Commodore Mike Wainhouse and Lt Col Joachim Isacsson will present initial results of the survey. Views raised during the seminar will be considered before publication of the Africa out to 2045 report in April.
Chair: Dr Julia Schünemann, Senior Researcher, African Futures and Innovation, ISS
- Commodore Mike Wainhouse, Head, Futures and Strategy, DCDC
- Lt Col Joachim Isacsson, DCDC
- Dr Jakkie Cilliers, Head, African Futures and Innovation, ISS